My analysis based on various sources-

1. On the special session of the parliament, maoists and UML will agree on referendum.
2. As soon as this happens, either king or army will rise up against it and there is a possibility of dissolving the govt and taking the power by king or army.
3. India already told that they are ready to give army assistance to Nepal in case they need to supress maoists.
4. Indian army alongwith Nepalese army will then result to war against maoists.
5. Many lives will sacrificed once again.
6. With Indian army, India will then try to either capture some parts of Nepal or whole Nepal in the name of security .
7. We will then start singing "Jana mana gana..." in our assembly.

What does your analysis say ?