Kathmandu: The graveyard has already been dug.

However, what yet remains to be confirmed is to who should be first put into this burial ground.

The targets are many a political luminaries, both incumbent and those who have already been told to say good bye to the country’s politics.

But then since the soil has been dug in a slope which may push those who have themselves calculatedly dug the graveyard if things don’t go their way.

To sum up, the stage is set for a frenzied drama that is yet to take a formal shape.

The graveyard drama, if that happens and eventually takes shape, will be so chaotic and panicky in both dimension and proportion that the entire world will perhaps witness yet another bloody conflict in this country. Fortunately, it is just in its embryonic stage.

Though the time is yet not ripe but symptoms have begun becoming visible.

The idea is perhaps to smear the political luminaries with a hope that after the maligned image the political authorities who count yet in Nepal politics will be automatically marginalized and the Maoists thus will have no potential threat to challenge their rule.

The idea, informed citizenry claim, is to sideline those whose presence in the country’s politics can in some way or the other damage the prospects of the continuation of the Maoist rule ad infinitum.

But is that possible given the formidable challenges coming as it does for the Maoists both domestically and regionally? The fallout of the drama thus set may go far beyond the region.

The dangerous part of the play that is being staged could boomerang on those who appear to be the main actors in the said stage show.

The drama thus is likely to end in a tragedy and this calamity may engulf the entire country and the region itself in a much more dangerous manner.

Let’s come to the point.

The Maoists central leadership is in a mood to investigate the causes and the reasons behind the Royal massacre that befell upon this country some eight years ago. This Royal massacre could be taken as an equivalent to what had happened to Czarist Russia when the supporters of Vladimir Ilyich Lenin assassinated the entire family of the Czars at the fag end of the 1920s.

Bringing out the truths is definitely a welcome move. The Nepalese population will laud the efforts of the Maoists government if hidden truths are uncovered even after a lapse of some eight years or so.

However, the design is different here, analyst claim.

The Maoists’ idea is to wrap the now sidelined King and implicate him in this mass execution episode so that the Maoists will have no one left to challenge their rule in the days to come.

Intelligent brains also claim that the exploration theory in itself is an idea that has foreign roots.

Others even suspect that the former King himself has encouraged the Maoists to initiate this investigation hoping that the allegation upon him that he killed his brother’s entire family could be washed off.

The King prior to vacating the Royal Palace on June 11, 2008, had lamented at a press conference that “No body was there to plead my case and I was made the target and my image was disseminated as if I had myself killed the entire family members of my august brother-King Birendra”.

If the former King’s expressions are taken at its face value then what comes to the fore is that he was being unnecessarily dragged in this case by some interested quarters and that he expected that some one from the political community shielded him from the allegations being labeled against him at that time.

But nothing of that sort happened. None of the political leaders pleaded his self-admitted innocence.

By extension, what becomes also clear is that he too wants to open this case so that he comes out unscathed after the investigation completed.

At least this becomes clear when he laments that no body came to plead his case on his behalf-read his innocence.

At a different plane, this investigation theory is being made public when the former King is not in Kathmandu.

What could have been the motive of the Maoists to talk of investigation of the Royal massacre at a time when the main target, read the former monarch, is not in town?

This is dangerous. And this is very dangerous in that Dr. Babu Ram Bhattarai is on record to have stated that King Birendra’s family was assassinated by the RAW-CIA combine. Dr. Bhattarai had made these observations through the publication of an article in one of the dallies wherein he had brought in the names of  two different intelligence agencies of India and America to have worked in tandem in killing King Birendra’s entire family.

If so, and if Dr. Bhattarai still remains sure that it was the joint effort of the RAW and the CIA, then the Indian and the American administration have reasons to become alert from now onwards. Perhaps these two countries have already taken note of the Investigation proposition.

By floating the Investigation theory, it appears that the Maoists want to kill three birds at a time.

If they want to terrify the former monarch, now in India, then they equally want to send signals to the Indian establishment and the American administration that sooner or later “you both will be taken to task and thus will be exposed”.

But the fact is that the Maoists or for that mater Dr. Bhattarai-Prachanda combine extracted adequate strength from the Indian regime during their so called people’s war which in essence they waged right being in New Delhi.

New Delhi is the source of power for each and every political party or for that mater the leaders of Nepal.

Had the former monarch realized this hidden truth, he would have still in place as the King of Nepal. However, he counted much on China and the latter did not come to his rescue.

Better late than never, the former monarch has come to his senses perhaps. He is in India to attend to a wedding ceremony of some of his close relatives but then yet the manner he is being greeted in Indian cities does tell that he is still very much kicking and alive both in India and Nepal.

In India he is liked by the lay men on religious grounds. In Nepal, the silent majority that mainly comprises of the Hindu population still reveres him as the King.

Thus the fear factor appears to have gripped the Maoists government in Nepal which has begun considering that “what will happen to their regime if the former monarch is blessed by the same regime which facilitated their power-jump in Nepal”?

The Indian Foreign Minister is on record to have said recently that it was the Indian maneuvering that brought the Maoists to power in Nepal through the signing of the Delhi sponsored 12 point agreement.

It is this fear psychosis that apparently has made nervous the entire Maoists paraphernalia which in an oblique manner gets reflected in their speeches being made by Dr. Bhattarai and Prachanda.

Dr. Bhattarai and Prachanda should know it better, and perhaps they understand it better, that for the Indian regime any one is welcome whosoever he or she may be served the Indian political interests as an obedient servant.

The force which deposed the 240 years of Nepal’s Royal institution can dismantle the entire Maoist paraphernalia in minutes if not seconds.

The former monarch is also, let’s presume, playing his political games.

This is evident from the galaxy of Indian leaders queuing in line to seek his audience. By this time the Indian authorities must have understood why the Chinese influence sky-rocketed in Nepal immediately after the King was told to vacate the Palace? To the extent that the Chinese have very freshly  pushed their own new draft treaty for the perusal of the Maoist led government which some how or the other got leaked to the utter dismay and chagrin of the Prime Minister Dahal. India can’t digest all these. Take it for granted. The Chinese draft of the treaty is some what similar to what India wants from Nepal. This would be too much for the Indian regime.

Surely, the Chinese have already made great inroads in Nepal through the kind courtesy of those whom it nourished like a baby. And interestingly, when the Chinese penetrate they do it with proper political finesse. The Himalayan penetration and the increased Chinese influence in Nepal have already been such that it would be pretty difficult, if not impossible, for the Indian regime to check further Chinese presence in Nepal. China remains undeterred. Some Communist party Polit Bureau members are soon to land in Nepal.

So what the Indians should do now?

Regime collapse? Government change? Reinstating the now sidelined monarch? Or what?

But those who know India better say that India can go to any extent in order to reduce the already increased Chinese role in Nepal. The Indian regime, should it so desire, can reinstate the King but on condition that he dilutes the Chinese influence which entered into Nepal through the sagacity of the Maoists.

Reports leaking from New Delhi reveal that India is now repenting on why she dethroned the Nepali monarch who at least had balanced the bilateral relations with both the neighbors in the North and South. But the fact is that the former King though preserved the interests of the Indian establishment primarily but also preferred not to keep the Chinese regime at a distance.

Unfortunately, King Gyanendra relied excessively on China and ignored the mighty neighbor in the South and paid the price.

The same will happen now even. The Maoists must not count on the Chinese as the former King did. When the Maoists will need the Chinese support, they will not come to their rescue. Rest assured the Maoists friends!

Nevertheless, China is a trusted friend and partner to the extent that its economic interests too are taken well care of by the Nepalese side.

The dominant power for Nepal is India and will always remain so.

The Maoists have numbered their days in government from their own wrong doings. Regime change or government change is not a thing wherein China is interested. Instead, it is and would be always the Indian regime which will continue to shake the Nepali foundations.

The former King is now not in India for a pleasure trip. He must have some cards under his sleeves. He must have opened up his cards in his own style. He might have told the Indians, “Look! After you dethroned me, how the Chinese entered into Nepal-primarily your play ground….now bear with it”. But analysts presume that he will not compromise with the Indian establishment at the cost of the nation if he is a staunch nationalist. Let’s hope so.

The Investigation theory pushed by the Maoists is also to damage the political persona of Girija Prasad Koirala-whom the Maoists conclude as number one enemy.

Media reports have also it that the King upon his return to Kathmandu will be summarily arrested by the government. Writes the Sanghu weekly dated March 2, 209 that the Maoist government has already decided on this count.

If this near to folly comes into action then that would be the beginning of the very beginning of an end of Nepal as a nation-state. The civil war is round the corner thus.

The question could also be asked had he been the designer of the sad event of June 1, 2001, perhaps he would not have told all and sundry that “I will live in Nepal and die in Nepal” instead fled away to shield himself from the penal actions. This has some logic, it seems. A guilty mind should have not expressed so as the former monarch has been sounding the Nepali population. But if he is summoned by the government then it becomes his bounden duty to appear before the legal body.

If that does happen then an angry India will put its entire weight upon the former King for obvious political reasons and understandings that the Indian regime and the former monarch must have by then forged.

Dr. Bhattarai’s theory that CIA-RAW combine may have killed King Birendra’s family is sure to hit the Maoists hard.

The Delhi-Washington axis will soon come into existence-read action- and will do the needful in dismantling this government.

And when the US initiates the crusade against the Maoists then, for sake of convenience let’s presume, the entire countries housed in the European Union will automatically side with this Axis.

What will follow then is any body’s guess. Killing birds for fun is different but when the birds are heavy weight countries then the results may not be as what has been expected by the hunters.