The government of Nepal has not increased petrolium price since it was $90 barrel in international market. Now the price is $112 dollars. The NOC had been provided money from finance ministry for last 4 months and the due is more than 12 billion rupees. That is almost 8% of total country's budget. Do you think the first cabinet meeting of Maoist led government will make the unpopular decision of increasing the petrolium price and dig their own grave yard???

Will UML and Congress and Forum who are in opposition will take this as an opportunity to hit maoist back....

If they need to increase prices, they better do it right away, when they are still in the honeymoon period and people might be more forgiving of them.  Looks like this could be the  first test of their economic policy. I am betting they wont take the bait but let's see.

Waiting, watching.

:)

The other thing thats bothering me is...where will they get money for all the proposal they put forward in their advertisement pamphlet. They are not going to get any foreign donations or aids till they make some serious changes in their functionailty and dismantle YCL and solve the problem related to PLA.

My thoughts exactly (and something I mentioned on the thread started by GP)

Forget the promises of the moon and the stars they made to everyone and their mother, they need to be careful that they don't do anything stupid  to scare off the inflow of money from the outside.  Look at the sources of Nepal's budget - you can't run this economy without donor money and loans.

One rumor floating today is they will offer the finance ministry to Mahat - assuming the Congress goes into government.

NEPAL'S BUDGET AT A GLANCE

Heading 2004/05 Actual 2005/06 Revised Estimate 2006/07 Estimate Revenue 70122742 73500000 85375800   Tax 54104779 59963400 69931500 Existing Sources 54104779 59963400 66298209 Tariff Adjustment & Administrative Reforms -- -- 3633291   Non-Tax Revenue 14770284 13014400 14534300 Existing Sources 14770284 13014400 13616302 Tariff Adjustment & Administrative Reforms -- -- 917998         Principal Refund 1247679 522200 910000   Total Expenditure 102560471 112074700 143912300   Recurrent 61686433 69066958 83767861 Capital 27340719 28802191 44976412 Principal Repayment 13533319 14205551 15168027   Surplus (+) Deficit (-) Before Foreign Grant -32437729 -38574700 -58536500   Foreign Grant 14391170 13807900 23728600 Bilateral 9104318 8087361 13451194 Multilateral 5286852 5720539 10277406   Surplus (+) Deficit (-) After Foreign Grant -18046559 -24766800 -34807900   Sources of Deficit Financing   Foreign Loan 9266129 9416600 16907900 Bilateral 126462 65174 2655000 Multilateral 9139667 9351426 14252900   Domestic Borrowings 8938100 11850000 17900000   Cash Balance Surplus (+) Deficit (-) 157670 -3500200 0

Complied by Research and Information Division of FNCCI from Public Statement on Income and Expenditure published by Ministry of Finance.

Source: http://www.fncci.org/text/budget.html

Do you really think, after the face to face with YCL, he would accept it?
The best thing for congress is to set back. In the mean time, we will also know how would they behave in the government, so we would be ready for next real election in two years.

As I mentioned in GP thread, I am looking forward to their social and economic agendas. Let see what we can hope from them.

Captain Haddock...here is the reply to your optimism. Sorry dude...it is hard to see silver lining in these dark clouds.   ‘Maoist cadres’ thrash Dr Mahat in Nuwakot

Himalayan News Service

Kathmandu, April 14: Newly elected member to the Constituent Assembly Dr Ram Sharan Mahat, who is also the Finance Minister, was injured today when a group of 25 Maoists attacked his band in Dudhdevi VDC of Nuwakot today. Seven other persons were also injured when the Maoists attacked them when Dr Mahat and his associates were returning home from a victory rally organised to mark Mahat’s victory from Nuwakot -2. NC cadres Prahalad Phuyal and Umesh Karki, a police inspector and four minors were injured in the incident. Dr Mahat, Phuyal and Karki sustained injuries in the head. Dr Mahat, who reached the capital late in the evening, organised a press conference to inform the media about the incident. Mahat underwent a primary treatment at Ganeshthan VDC health post. “I will see a doctor tomorrow to find out how serious the injury is,” Mahat said during the late night press conference at his residence. Maoist cadres pelted stones at them and attacked with sickles. Earlier, the Maoists had also injured another NC cadre Shiv Dangol in Bidur, the district headquarters. “Before the incident, the Maoists had torn off a few ballot papers in the election office to protest against my win,” said Dr Mahat. He lamented that the Maoists continued with their excesses even after the polls. “They threatened physical action against our cadres and did not let our cadres to vote freely; they have won majority seats because of intimidation and violent tactics,” Dr Mahat said. Earlier, Dr Mahat was declared winner from Nuwakot-2 with a narrow margin of 104 votes.

I am not advocating who should be the FM but simply trying to analyze the options they have on this. What I am advocating though is the Congress and UML stay out of the government and support it from the outside.